Today's Contents
Reporter's Notepad:
- Riley Risk recommends companies in east prepare contingency plans amid heavy fighting, possible Ukrainian territory loss
Just The Facts:
- Ukraine to ask EU to delay introducing carbon border tax, trade envoy says
- Ukraine's finance minister discusses reconstruction opportunities with Canadian investors
- Ukraine, Poland partner on regional policy, recovery, EU integration
- Polish logistics service provider Rohlig SUUS opens subsidiary in Ukraine
Here's What They Think:
- Politico: Putin is ready for a forever war in Ukraine
- Atlantic Council: US-Ukraine minerals deal combines economic cooperation with security interests
Sober Second Thought:
- SEPA membership could save up to €100 million annually to Ukrainian businesses and citizens, study finds
The Rebuilder's Social:
- BDO Ukraine launches guide for UK investors to the reconstruction and Innovo Group hosts UK businesses and politicians. The government launches the GovTech pulse recurring survey and lauds businesses operating near the front line.
Dear readers,
In URN's Partner Program, we ally with reputable companies who devote their expertise to informing investors about the risks and possibilities in Ukraine. In the legal and regulatory landscape, logistics, tax and accounting, agriculture, and many other areas, we partner with firms who, above all, help inform our readers.
Every Thursday, we bring you the you the weekly intelligence summary by Riley Risk, the premier security risk advisory firm for complex environments, crafted exclusively for URN for the purpose of keeping companies, NGOs, agencies and other organizations aware of the physical security risks of operating in Ukraine.
For the full report, download here:
Below are some of the main charts:
Riley Risk warn clients in eastern Ukraine to accelerate contingency planning as fighting intensifies
Intelligence Summary, May 22
Current Regional Status Overview
| Region | Current Risk Level | Change Factor | Key Triggers |
|---|---|---|---|
| North | MODERATE | Degrading | Incursion into Sumy Oblast |
| East | HIGH | Degrading | Tactical Disadvantages / Land |
| South | HIGH | Degrading | RU Offensive ZP / KHER |
| West | MODERATE | No Change | Missile / Drone Strikes |
Current Infrastructure Status
| Energy | Food/Water | Medical | Communications | Transportation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONLINE | ONLINE | ONLINE | ONLINE | ONLINE |
Infrastructure Notes: Limited infrastructure interruptions other than power outages.
Critical Risk Zones:
● Kostyantynopil direction – Unstable and Russian forces pushing West.
● Chasiv Yar: High combat activity, likely to fall within 1-2 months
● Kherson City: Increased civilian targeting, daily shelling
● Pokrovsk direction - Highly under threat, but for the moment stabilised
● Sivers’k direction - Future intent of RU forces: Possibly to envelop the surrounding area.
Elevated Risk Sectors:
● Pokrovsk: Russian encirclement attempts ongoing
● Kupyansk: Supply hub under pressure
● Zaporizhzhia: Military buildup, offensive operations have now started
Stable Sectors:
● Western regions: Normal operations possible
● Kharkiv: Static front, limited changes
● Central regions: Routine operations continuing
