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Latest Intelligence Summary: Riley Risk recommends clients in east Ukraine accelerate contingency planning

Critical risk zones

Table of Contents

Dear Readers,

On Thursdays, we bring you the weekly intelligence summary by Riley Risk, the premier security risk advisory firm for complex environments.

The report is crafted exclusively for Ukraine Rebuild Newswire for the purpose of keeping companies, NGOs, agencies and other organizations aware of the physical security risks of operating in Ukraine.

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Here are the main charts:

Intelligence Summary, May 22

Status Overview
Current Regional Status Overview
Region Current Risk Level Change Factor Key Triggers
North MODERATE Degrading Incursion into Sumy Oblast
East HIGH Degrading Tactical Disadvantages / Land
South HIGH Degrading RU Offensive ZP / KHER
West MODERATE No Change Missile / Drone Strikes
Current Infrastructure Status
Energy Food/Water Medical Communications Transportation
ONLINE ONLINE ONLINE ONLINE ONLINE
Infrastructure Notes: Limited infrastructure interruptions other than power outages.

Critical Risk Zones:

●      Kostyantynopil direction – Unstable and Russian forces pushing West.

●      Chasiv Yar: High combat activity, likely to fall within 1-2 months

●      Kherson City: Increased civilian targeting, daily shelling

●      Pokrovsk direction - Highly under threat, but for the moment stabilised

●      Sivers’k direction - Future intent of RU forces: Possibly to envelop the surrounding area.

Elevated Risk Sectors:

●      Pokrovsk: Russian encirclement attempts ongoing

●      Kupyansk: Supply hub under pressure

●      Zaporizhzhia: Military buildup, offensive operations have now started

Stable Sectors:

●      Western regions: Normal operations possible

●      Kharkiv: Static front, limited changes

●      Central regions: Routine operations continuing 

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