Dear Readers,
On Thursdays, we bring you the weekly intelligence summary by Riley Risk, the premier security risk advisory firm for complex environments.
The report is crafted exclusively for Ukraine Rebuild Newswire for the purpose of keeping companies, NGOs, agencies and other organizations aware of the physical security risks of operating in Ukraine.
Download the full report here:
Here are the main charts:
Intelligence Summary, May 22
| Region | Current Risk Level | Change Factor | Key Triggers |
|---|---|---|---|
| North | MODERATE | Degrading | Incursion into Sumy Oblast |
| East | HIGH | Degrading | Tactical Disadvantages / Land |
| South | HIGH | Degrading | RU Offensive ZP / KHER |
| West | MODERATE | No Change | Missile / Drone Strikes |
| Energy | Food/Water | Medical | Communications | Transportation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONLINE | ONLINE | ONLINE | ONLINE | ONLINE |
Critical Risk Zones:
● Kostyantynopil direction – Unstable and Russian forces pushing West.
● Chasiv Yar: High combat activity, likely to fall within 1-2 months
● Kherson City: Increased civilian targeting, daily shelling
● Pokrovsk direction - Highly under threat, but for the moment stabilised
● Sivers’k direction - Future intent of RU forces: Possibly to envelop the surrounding area.
Elevated Risk Sectors:
● Pokrovsk: Russian encirclement attempts ongoing
● Kupyansk: Supply hub under pressure
● Zaporizhzhia: Military buildup, offensive operations have now started
Stable Sectors:
● Western regions: Normal operations possible
● Kharkiv: Static front, limited changes
● Central regions: Routine operations continuing
