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May 22 Intelligence Summary: Riley Risks recommends clients in east Ukraine accelerate contingency planning

Destroyed apartment buildings in Pokrovsk, Donetsk. Photo from April 23, 2025 by Michael Shtekel via Ukraine Media Center.

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Dear Readers,

On Thursdays, we bring you the weekly intelligence summary by Riley Risk, the premier security risk advisory firm for complex environments.

The report is crafted exclusively for Ukraine Rebuild Newswire for the purpose of keeping companies, NGOs, agencies and other organizations aware of the physical security risks of operating in Ukraine.

Download the full report here:

Here are the main charts:

Intelligence Summary, May 22

Status Overview
Current Regional Status Overview
Region Current Risk Level Change Factor Key Triggers
North MODERATE Degrading Incursion into Sumy Oblast
East HIGH Degrading Tactical Disadvantages / Land
South HIGH Degrading RU Offensive ZP / KHER
West MODERATE No Change Missile / Drone Strikes
Current Infrastructure Status
Energy Food/Water Medical Communications Transportation
ONLINE ONLINE ONLINE ONLINE ONLINE
Infrastructure Notes: Limited infrastructure interruptions other than power outages.

Critical Risk Zones:

●      Kostyantynopil direction – Unstable and Russian forces pushing West.

●      Chasiv Yar: High combat activity, likely to fall within 1-2 months

●      Kherson City: Increased civilian targeting, daily shelling

●      Pokrovsk direction - Highly under threat, but for the moment stabilised

●      Sivers’k direction - Future intent of RU forces: Possibly to envelop the surrounding area.

Elevated Risk Sectors:

●      Pokrovsk: Russian encirclement attempts ongoing

●      Kupyansk: Supply hub under pressure

●      Zaporizhzhia: Military buildup, offensive operations have now started

Stable Sectors:

●      Western regions: Normal operations possible

●      Kharkiv: Static front, limited changes

●      Central regions: Routine operations continuing 

Latest

URN Daily: Ukraine seeks delay in EU carbon border tax. Riley Risk urges contingency planning for clients in east as fighting intensifies.

URN Daily: Ukraine seeks delay in EU carbon border tax. Riley Risk urges contingency planning for clients in east as fighting intensifies.

Today's Contents Reporter's Notepad: * Riley Risk recommends companies in east prepare contingency plans amid heavy fighting, possible Ukrainian territory loss Just The Facts: * Ukraine to ask EU to delay introducing carbon border tax, trade envoy says * Ukraine's finance minister discusses reconstruction opportunities with Canadian

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